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Investment Strategies
1
Abstract
3
Content
5
List of Figures
7
List of Tables
9
Abbreviations
10
1 Introduction
11
1.1 Motivation and Aim of the Book
12
1.2 Structure of the Book
12
2 Modern Portfolio Theory
12
2.1 Literature Review
13
2.2 Optimal Portfolio
14
2.3 Efficient Market Hypothesis
19
3 Applied Methodology
21
3.1 Data
21
3.2 Risk, Return and Correlation
22
3.3 Time Frame
24
3.3.1 Ex Post
24
3.3.2 Ex Ante
25
3.4 Portfolio Strategies
26
3.4.1 Crossover Simple Moving Average
27
3.4.2 Equally Weighted Portfolio
28
3.4.3 Minimum Variance Portfolio
28
3.4.4 Certainty Equivalence Tangency Portfolio
29
3.4.5 James Stein Estimator
29
3.4.6 Black Litterman Model
33
4 Empirical Results
41
4.1 Risk, Return and Correlation
41
4.2 Strategies in an Ex Post Framework
44
4.3 Strategies in an Ex Ante Framework
47
4.3.1 Crossover Simple Moving Average
47
4.3.2 EQW, MVP and CET
49
4.3.3 James Stein Estimator
54
4.3.4 Black Litterman Model
58
4.4 Constraints of the observed Magnitudes
60
4.4.1 Transaction Costs
61
4.4.2 Liquidity
62
4.4.3 Market Situation during the Sample Period
62
5 Conclusion and Further Research
63
Appendix
65
References
69
The Author
74
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