Minding the Weather - How Expert Forecasters Think

Minding the Weather - How Expert Forecasters Think

von: Robert R. Hoffman, Daphne S. LaDue, H. Michael Mogil, Paul J. Roebber, J. Gregory Trafton

The MIT Press, 2017

ISBN: 9780262339414 , 488 Seiten

Format: ePUB

Kopierschutz: DRM

Windows PC,Mac OSX für alle DRM-fähigen eReader Apple iPad, Android Tablet PC's Apple iPod touch, iPhone und Android Smartphones

Preis: 79,19 EUR

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Minding the Weather - How Expert Forecasters Think


This book argues that the human cognition system is the least understood, yet probably most important, component of forecasting accuracy. Minding the Weather investigates how people acquire massive and highly organized knowledge and develop the reasoning skills and strategies that enable them to achieve the highest levels of performance.The authors consider such topics as the forecasting workplace, atmospheric scientists' descriptions of their reasoning strategies, the nature of expertise, forecaster knowledge, perceptual skills, and reasoning, and expert systems designed to imitate forecaster reasoning. Drawing on research in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science, the authors argue that forecasting involves an interdependence of humans and technologies. Human expertise will always be necessary.